Strategy · Analytics · Research
Alejandro Guipe
Economist · Consultant · Researcher
I support organisations in making better decisions at the intersection of economics, data and technology.
I transform complex business questions, fragmented information and emerging technologies into clear strategies, reliable decision systems and actionable priorities for leadership teams.
Strategy · Executive analytics · Research · Data & AI strategy
Projects
A selection of research, analytical systems and strategic projects developed to understand complex problems, support decisions and create measurable organisational value.
Early Signals in Decentralized Prediction Markets
Evidence from Polymarket and Colombia's 2026 presidential election: can decentralized prediction markets anticipate electoral outcomes?
The Token Economy
Compute power, automation and the future of work in an ecosystem of human labor, capital and artificial intelligence.
From Tokens to Atoms
Artificial intelligence is crossing from bits to atoms. This working paper starts from the emergence of Project Prometheus...
Research
Independent and applied research exploring financial systems, prediction markets, artificial intelligence, economic behaviour and the future of work.
- From Tokens to Atoms: Physical AI, the Artificial General Engineer, and the Economics of Automating Design, Manufacturing, and R&DSSRN Working Paper 7153400 · 2026
- Early Signals in Decentralized Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket and Colombia's 2026 Presidential ElectionSSRN Working Paper 7018879 · 2026
- Schrödinger's Bank: Quantum Superposition to Explain Self-Fulfilling Financial PanicsSSRN Working Paper 7010698 · 2026
- The Token Economy: Compute Power, Automation, and the Future of Work in an Ecosystem of Human Labor, Capital, and Artificial IntelligenceSSRN Working Paper 6855560 · 2026
Blog
How much should you have saved at your age?
The “X times your salary” rules mislead. A global savings reference by age, adjusted for purchasing power (PPP), to answer more honestly how much it's reasonable to have saved.
Starting at the End
Have you ever started a story from the end? A few weeks ago, I did it almost by accident. There was a series I had watched many episodes of over the years, though I could not say exactly how many. I…
When words were no longer to spare
There was a time when writing a message was almost a small exercise in engineering. An SMS had a limit of 160 characters, and every letter seemed to take up precious space. The idea was simple: say…
Time will pass anyway
Life is a little like a game. There are rules we do not choose, players who come and go, goals we define along the way, and decisions that, little by little, end up shaping our path. It is also like…
Can a machine hire better than a human?
In a recruitment experiment involving more than 70,000 job applications, candidates who were allowed to choose between a human interviewer and an artificial intelligence system made an unexpected…
We do not visit places, we visit times
“When we miss a place, what we truly miss is the time that belonged to that place; we do not miss places, but times.” When I read these words by Jorge Luis Borges, I felt that they expressed a truth…
Rome Without Romance
Only a few days had passed since classes ended when I decided to go to Rome. Christmas was approaching, I had very little money, and the trip seemed like one
The Bernina Express
For more than ten years, I carried a train inside my head. It was not just any train. It crossed snow-covered mountains, passed beside frozen lakes, and moved slowly through villages that seemed to…
When Words Begin to Breathe
Creating a literary character is one of the purest forms of magic. At first, there is nothing: merely a name on a page, a voice still uncertain, a longing or a sorrow whose origin remains unknown. Little by little...