Strategy · Analytics · Research
Alejandro Guipe
Economist · Consultant · Researcher
I help organisations make better decisions at the intersection of economics, data and technology.
I transform complex business questions, fragmented information and emerging technologies into clear strategies, reliable decision systems and actionable priorities for leadership teams.
Strategy · Executive analytics · Research · Data & AI strategy
Projects
A selection of research, analytical systems and strategic projects developed to understand complex problems, support decisions and create measurable organisational value.
Early Signals in Decentralized Prediction Markets
Evidence from Polymarket and Colombia's 2026 presidential election: can decentralized prediction markets anticipate electoral outcomes?
Schrödinger's Bank
Quantum superposition as a lens to explain self-fulfilling financial panics.
The Token Economy
Compute power, automation and the future of work in an ecosystem of human labor, capital and artificial intelligence.
Research
Independent and applied research exploring financial systems, prediction markets, artificial intelligence, economic behaviour and the future of work.
- Early Signals in Decentralized Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket and Colombia's 2026 Presidential ElectionSSRN Working Paper 7018879 · 2026
- Schrödinger's Bank: Quantum Superposition to Explain Self-Fulfilling Financial PanicsSSRN Working Paper 7010698 · 2026
- The Token Economy: Compute Power, Automation, and the Future of Work in an Ecosystem of Human Labor, Capital, and Artificial IntelligenceSSRN Working Paper 6855560 · 2026
Blog
Being Right and Staying the Course
Society has a particular fascination with being right. It celebrates the exact moment when someone makes the correct decision, finds an answer, or reaches a goal. Everything that came before usually disappears: the doubts,...
AI Is Not Free: The Hidden Cost Behind Every Answer
Artificial intelligence often feels weightless. We type a question, wait a few seconds, and receive an answer. It seems simple, almost magical. But behind every response there is s…
That City
That city where you feel peace. That city that feels like home. That city that challenges you, but also brings out the best in you. That city where you imagine a family. Where you long to spe…
Personal Finance Starts With Knowing Where Your Money Goes
Personal finance is often presented as something complicated: investments, markets, cryptocurrencies, real estate, interest rates, taxes, and financial products that can sound dist…
Hey, You
Hey, you, who have become an expert in forms, procedures, and paperwork. Hey, you, who have learned to live between spring and winter. Hey, you, who have learned to listen…
Sundays
Sundays are, for me, the best day of the week. For some time now I have devoted them religiously to physical exercise, walks, or simply going out to take photographs.…
Resolution
There is a phenomenon, a rather peculiar one, that sometimes takes place in a person's life. One day you wake up—in the middle of the night or as usual—and you know exactly what you must d…
Grey Days
There are grey days when the beauty of the world seems to vanish and the value of what matters to us disappears. On a grey day you find yourself alone despite being in company; you are not pre…
I Dream
I dream of a place far from sadness and hopelessness. I dream of a place where people do not have to be separated from their land by hunger and misery. I dream of a place…